语言:简体中文
Scotland v France
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Scotland (主队)
预测 22.15%4.51公平赔率
EV +1.89%
优势 +0.412%
Kelly +0.526%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 4.60
博彩公司预测分布
19.99%22.38%22.15%24.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.164.004.6027.03%24.07%25.00%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
France (客队)
预测 74.52%1.34公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -3.00%
Kelly -13.33%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
72.40%74.49%74.45%76.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.241.251.2984.03%80.45%80.00%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 3.33%30.05公平赔率
EV +36.43%
优势 +0.889%
Kelly +0.911%
增长率 +0.332%
假设最高赔率为 41.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.23%3.14%3.40%4.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
23.0028.5926.0041.004.35%3.50%3.85%2.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Scotland (主队)：22.15%；France (客队)：74.52%；平局：3.33%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为30.05。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为41.00，对应+36.43%的正期望值。
有 12 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.92%EV -9.08%E -7.45%K -41.29%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.23%EV +36.43%E +0.889%K +0.911%G +0.332% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.75%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -7.59%E -6.12%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.35%EV +33.10%E +0.828%K +0.849%G +0.281% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -18.04%E -4.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.82%EV -11.32%E -9.51%K -59.58%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.44%EV +19.79%E +0.550%K +0.565%G +0.112% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.92%EV -14.05%E -3.62%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.08%EV -5.36%E -4.22%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.99%EV +3.15%E +0.102%K +0.105%G +0.003% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -0.321%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.52%EV -6.85%E -5.48%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.50%EV -10.16%E -0.376%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.54%E -0.576%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.32%EV -7.59%E -6.12%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.46%EV -10.16%E -0.376%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -15.83%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.40%EV -5.36%E -4.22%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.41%EV -10.16%E -0.376%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -15.83%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.40%EV -5.36%E -4.22%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.41%EV -10.16%E -0.376%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -0.321%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.42%EV -6.85%E -5.48%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -13.48%E -0.519%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -0.321%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.42%EV -6.85%E -5.48%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -13.48%E -0.519%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.88%EV -3.87%E -3.00%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.62%EV -13.48%E -0.519%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.22%EV -3.42%E -0.785%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.22%EV -8.34%E -6.78%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.56%EV -13.48%E -0.519%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.50%EV -6.85%E -5.48%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -13.48%E -0.519%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.50%EV -6.85%E -5.48%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -13.48%E -0.519%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.50%EV -6.85%E -5.48%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -13.48%E -0.519%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -4.75%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.35%EV -10.57%E -8.81%K -52.87%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.62%EV -16.81%E -0.672%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV +1.89%E +0.412%K +0.526%G +0.010% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.01%EV -9.83%E -8.12%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV -23.47%E -1.02%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.94% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.35% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.28% | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.73% | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.08% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.69% | 42.02I 2.38%NM 2.33% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (12)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |