赔率学院

Newcastle Knights v South Sydney Rabbitohs

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 04:01 UTC

最终结果: Newcastle Knights 42–38 South Sydney Rabbitohs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

7 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Newcastle Knights (主队)

预测 44.02%2.27公平赔率
EV -5.35%
优势 -2.49%
Kelly -4.65%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
42.86%44.01%44.02%45.66%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.952.042.052.1551.28%48.95%48.78%46.51%MIN均值中位数MAX

South Sydney Rabbitohs (客队)

预测 51.68%1.93公平赔率
EV -4.39%
优势 -2.37%
Kelly -5.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
50.60%51.79%51.68%52.96%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.681.751.741.8559.52%57.10%57.47%54.05%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 4.30%23.27公平赔率
EV +16.03%
优势 +0.594%
Kelly +0.617%
增长率 +0.099%

假设最高赔率为 27.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.35%4.20%4.30%4.51%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
20.0022.8622.0027.005.00%4.38%4.55%3.70%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (7 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.10%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.56%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.35%EV +16.03%E +0.594%K +0.617%G +0.099%10.6%2026-05-03 04:00
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.74%EV +7.43%E +0.297%K +0.310%G +0.023%6.8%2026-05-03 04:00
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.28%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.25%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.71%EV +7.43%E +0.297%K +0.310%G +0.023%7.7%2026-05-03 04:00
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -10.08%E -5.79%K -13.62%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.19%EV -5.46%E -0.248%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 03:30
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -14.16%E -7.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.51%EV -13.18%E -7.84%K -19.38%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.12%EV -9.76%E -0.465%K -0.488%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 17:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.98%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.51%EV -14.05%E -0.703%K -0.740%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 00:19
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.93%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.39%EV -14.05%E -0.703%K -0.740%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 04:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-03 04:00
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%4.0%2026-05-03 03:50
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%4.3%2026-05-03 03:59
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%4.7%2026-05-03 03:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%4.7%2026-05-03 03:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%4.8%2026-05-03 03:30
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%4.8%2026-05-03 04:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-05-02 07:21
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-05-02 11:05
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-04-30 23:58
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-05-01 00:00
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-05-03 03:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-05-03 02:05
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%5.8%2026-05-03 03:20
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%5.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%6.6%2026-05-03 04:00
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%6.6%2026-05-03 04:00
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%9.7%2026-05-03 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%10.1%2026-05-03 04:00