赔率学院

Newcastle Knights v Parramatta Eels

开赛时间: 2026-05-30 05:01 UTC

最终结果: Newcastle Knights 28–22 Parramatta Eels

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

7 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Newcastle Knights (主队)

预测 75.57%1.32公平赔率
EV -3.28%
优势 -2.56%
Kelly -11.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
73.75%75.57%75.57%78.76%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.151.191.181.2886.96%83.83%84.75%78.13%MIN均值中位数MAX

Parramatta Eels (客队)

预测 21.43%4.67公平赔率
EV +7.17%
优势 +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
增长率 +0.129%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.59%21.39%21.43%22.48%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.104.384.305.0024.39%22.84%23.26%20.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 3.00%33.33公平赔率
EV +20.00%
优势 +0.500%
Kelly +0.513%
增长率 +0.103%

假设最高赔率为 40.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.26%3.04%3.00%3.78%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
25.0032.2935.0040.004.00%3.10%2.86%2.50%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (7 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.76%EV -10.83%E -9.18%K -60.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.66%EV +5.00%E +0.143%K +0.147%G +0.007%7.6%2026-05-30 05:00
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.37%EV -10.83%E -9.18%K -60.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -3.55%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.60%EV -25.00%E -1.00%K -1.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 04:59
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.21%EV -11.59%E -9.90%K -68.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -5.69%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.26%EV +20.00%E +0.500%K +0.513%G +0.103%10.7%2026-05-30 05:00
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.75%EV -11.59%E -9.90%K -68.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.88%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.36%EV +14.00%E +0.368%K +0.378%G +0.053%11.4%2026-05-30 04:59
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 73.75%EV -3.28%E -2.56%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.78%EV -25.00%E -1.00%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 05:00
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.41%EV -7.81%E -6.40%K -35.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.17%EV -11.05%E -2.66%K -3.51%G +0.000%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.42%EV +14.00%E +0.368%K +0.378%G +0.053%8.7%2026-05-30 04:59
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 75.39%EV -13.10%E -11.39%K -87.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.15%EV -12.12%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.47%EV -25.00%E -1.00%K -1.04%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-30 04:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-05-30 05:00
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.39%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%4.1%2026-05-30 04:59
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-05-30 04:57
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%4.9%2026-05-30 05:00
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%5.0%2026-05-30 04:59
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-05-30 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-05-30 04:59
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-05-30 05:00
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.2%2026-05-30 04:59
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.2%2026-05-30 05:00
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.2%2026-05-30 04:59
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.2%2026-05-30 05:00
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.2%2026-05-30 05:00
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-05-30 05:00
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-05-30 04:56
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-30 05:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-30 05:00
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-05-30 04:59
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%6.1%2026-05-30 05:00
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.5%2026-05-30 05:00
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 74.63%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%12.6%2026-05-30 04:59