赔率学院Melbourne Storm v Parramatta Eels
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Melbourne Storm (主队)
预测 64.03%1.56公平赔率
EV -5.24%
优势 -3.54%
Kelly -10.92%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
62.53%63.87%64.03%64.27%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.381.441.441.4872.46%69.69%69.44%67.57%MIN均值中位数MAX
Parramatta Eels (客队)
预测 32.13%3.11公平赔率
EV -3.61%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -1.80%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
31.31%32.09%32.13%33.06%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.51%35.71%33.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 3.84%26.02公平赔率
EV +7.62%
优势 +0.272%
Kelly +0.282%
增长率 +0.021%
假设最高赔率为 28.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.28%4.04%3.84%5.22%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
18.0021.9022.0028.005.56%4.57%4.55%3.57%MIN均值中位数MAX
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (10 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.79%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 32.93%EV -10.35%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.28%EV +7.62%E +0.272%K +0.282%G +0.021% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 07:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.27%EV -10.36%E -7.40%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.60%EV -3.91%E -0.157%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.04%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.95%EV -11.60%E -0.504%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-02 09:40 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.04%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.95%EV -11.60%E -0.504%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-02 09:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.15%EV -9.72%E -6.90%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.11%EV -15.44%E -0.702%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -10.36%E -7.40%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.98%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.07%EV -15.44%E -0.702%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-05 08:50 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -19.29%E -0.918%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 08:53 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.53%EV -11.65%E -8.44%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.93%EV -15.82%E -6.04%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.54%EV -26.97%E -1.42%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-05 08:55 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -30.82%E -1.71%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 08:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -30.82%E -1.71%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 08:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 08:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 08:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 08:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 20:54 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| TAB | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 08:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 08:50 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:19 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 08:40 |