赔率学院

Dolphins v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

开赛时间: 2026-04-02 09:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

9 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Dolphins (主队)

预测 69.52%1.44公平赔率
EV -4.06%
优势 -2.95%
Kelly -10.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
68.09%69.51%69.52%70.42%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.89%75.19%72.46%MIN均值中位数MAX

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (客队)

预测 27.27%3.67公平赔率
EV -4.55%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.09%27.19%27.27%27.92%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.203.373.403.5031.25%29.65%29.41%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 3.21%31.14公平赔率
EV +15.60%
优势 +0.433%
Kelly +0.446%
增长率 +0.070%

假设最高赔率为 36.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.48%3.30%3.21%4.27%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
22.0025.8923.0036.004.55%3.86%4.35%2.78%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (9 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.42%EV -11.71%E -9.22%K -43.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.48%EV +15.60%E +0.433%K +0.446%G +0.070%11.8%2026-04-02 09:00
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.79%EV +5.97%E +0.181%K +0.187%G +0.011%8.5%2026-04-02 08:59
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.25%EV -10.32%E -8.00%K -35.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.49%EV -16.51%E -0.635%K -0.660%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.25%EV -9.63%E -7.40%K -32.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -19.72%E -0.789%K -0.822%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 08:59
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.01%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.99%EV -26.14%E -1.14%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.01%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.99%EV -26.14%E -1.14%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 08:59
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.21%EV -13.10%E -10.48%K -52.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.76%EV -26.14%E -1.14%K -1.19%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-02 08:59
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.09%EV -4.06%E -2.95%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -29.35%E -1.33%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 09:00
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.09%EV -4.06%E -2.95%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -29.35%E -1.33%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 08:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-02 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%4.1%2026-04-02 09:00
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%4.2%2026-04-02 09:00
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%4.4%2026-04-02 09:00
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%4.5%2026-04-02 08:59
Betr (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%4.9%2026-04-02 09:00
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-04-02 09:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-04-02 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-04-02 09:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-04-02 09:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-04-02 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-04-02 08:58
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-04-02 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-04-02 09:00
Dabble (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%5.4%2026-04-02 08:59
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%5.5%2026-04-02 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%5.8%2026-04-02 09:00
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%5.8%2026-04-02 09:00
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%5.8%2026-04-02 08:58
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%5.8%2026-04-02 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%6.0%2026-04-02 09:00