语言:简体中文
Dolphins v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Dolphins (主队)
预测 69.52%1.44公平赔率
EV -4.06%
优势 -2.95%
Kelly -10.70%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.38
博彩公司预测分布
68.09%69.51%69.52%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.89%75.19%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (客队)
预测 27.27%3.67公平赔率
EV -4.55%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.09%27.19%27.27%27.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.373.403.5031.25%29.65%29.41%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 3.21%31.14公平赔率
EV +15.60%
优势 +0.433%
Kelly +0.446%
增长率 +0.070%
假设最高赔率为 36.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.48%3.30%3.21%4.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
22.0025.8923.0036.004.55%3.86%4.35%2.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Dolphins (主队)：69.52%；Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (客队)：27.27%；平局：3.21%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为31.14。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为36.00，对应+15.60%的正期望值。
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (9 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.42%EV -11.71%E -9.22%K -43.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.48%EV +15.60%E +0.433%K +0.446%G +0.070% | 11.8% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.79%EV +5.97%E +0.181%K +0.187%G +0.011% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.25%EV -10.32%E -8.00%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.49%EV -16.51%E -0.635%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.25%EV -9.63%E -7.40%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -19.72%E -0.789%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.01%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.99%EV -26.14%E -1.14%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.01%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.99%EV -26.14%E -1.14%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.21%EV -13.10%E -10.48%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.76%EV -26.14%E -1.14%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.09%EV -4.06%E -2.95%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -29.35%E -1.33%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.09%EV -4.06%E -2.95%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -29.35%E -1.33%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 08:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 08:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |