语言:简体中文
Canterbury Bulldogs v Parramatta Eels
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Canterbury Bulldogs (主队)
预测 64.11%1.56公平赔率
EV -5.11%
优势 -3.45%
Kelly -10.65%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
63.47%64.01%63.78%66.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.411.401.4874.07%70.73%71.43%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
Parramatta Eels (客队)
预测 32.39%3.09公平赔率
EV -2.82%
优势 -0.940%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
29.77%32.25%32.60%33.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.672.862.853.0037.45%34.92%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 3.49%28.64公平赔率
EV +4.76%
优势 +0.159%
Kelly +0.164%
增长率 +0.008%
假设最高赔率为 30.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.00%3.73%3.63%5.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
18.0023.7524.0030.005.56%4.21%4.17%3.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Canterbury Bulldogs (主队)：64.11%；Parramatta Eels (客队)：32.39%；平局：3.49%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为28.64。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为30.00，对应+4.76%的正期望值。
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (8 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.93%EV -7.68%E -5.33%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.00%EV -9.62%E -3.45%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.07%EV +4.76%E +0.159%K +0.164%G +0.008% | 8.6% | 2026-06-08 05:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.28%EV -10.24%E -7.31%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.00%EV +4.76%E +0.159%K +0.164%G +0.008% | 11.1% | 2026-06-08 04:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -10.24%E -7.31%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.76%EV -16.19%E -0.675%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-08 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.70%EV -10.88%E -7.83%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.75%EV -16.19%E -0.675%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-08 05:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.69%EV -12.16%E -8.88%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.68%EV -13.51%E -5.06%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.64%EV -16.19%E -0.675%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-08 05:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17%EV -13.45%E -9.96%K -38.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.06%EV -23.18%E -1.05%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-08 05:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.11%E -3.45%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -37.15%E -2.06%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-08 06:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.11%E -3.45%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -37.15%E -2.06%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-08 06:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19% | 3.4% | 2026-06-08 05:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 06:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33% | 4.9% | 2026-06-08 04:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87% | 4.9% | 2026-06-08 04:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41% | 5.0% | 2026-06-08 05:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 05:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 05:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 05:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05% | 6.8% | 2026-06-08 05:29 |