语言:简体中文
Brisbane Broncos v Penrith Panthers
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Brisbane Broncos (主队)
预测 54.16%1.85公平赔率
EV -1.42%
优势 -0.781%
Kelly -1.73%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.82
博彩公司预测分布
52.36%54.03%54.26%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.771.771.8258.14%56.44%56.50%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
Penrith Panthers (客队)
预测 45.84%2.18公平赔率
EV -1.45%
优势 -0.676%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.15
博彩公司预测分布
44.44%45.97%45.74%47.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.062.052.1550.00%48.57%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Brisbane Broncos (主队)：54.16%；Penrith Panthers (客队)：45.84%。 对于“Brisbane Broncos (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.85。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.82，期望值为-1.42%，未产生正期望值。
有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -1.42%E -0.781%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -6.50%E -3.18%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.42%E -0.781%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 08:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.42%E -0.781%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 08:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.50%E -1.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.50%E -1.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.75%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 08:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.67%E -2.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.50%E -3.18%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.67%E -2.65%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.50%E -3.18%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.75%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Bet365 (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.75%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 08:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.75%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.75%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 08:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.45%E -0.676%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (2)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.90% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.84% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 08:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.89% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.29% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 08:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.01% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 08:22 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.99% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.51% | 10.8% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.57% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.50% | 11.1% | 2026-03-02 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.75% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.71% | 11.8% | 2026-03-03 07:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.75% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.71% | 11.8% | 2026-03-03 07:23 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.24% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.32% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.44% | 12.6% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.54% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.06% | 16.3% | 2026-03-05 12:29 |