语言:简体中文
Brisbane Broncos v Dolphins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Brisbane Broncos (主队)
预测 56.20%1.78公平赔率
EV -5.59%
优势 -3.33%
Kelly -8.22%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.68
博彩公司预测分布
55.77%56.16%56.20%56.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.621.611.6865.36%61.90%62.11%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Dolphins (客队)
预测 40.40%2.48公平赔率
EV -4.26%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -3.11%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.37
博彩公司预测分布
38.69%40.27%40.40%41.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.172.282.302.3746.08%43.82%43.48%42.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 3.41%29.36公平赔率
EV +5.58%
优势 +0.180%
Kelly +0.186%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 31.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.97%3.57%3.41%4.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
20.0024.7826.0031.005.00%4.04%3.85%3.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Brisbane Broncos (主队)：56.20%；Dolphins (客队)：40.40%；平局：3.41%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为29.36。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为31.00，对应+5.58%的正期望值。
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (9 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.77%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.26%EV -9.92%E -4.45%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV +5.58%E +0.180%K +0.186%G +0.010% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.35%EV -4.63%E -0.166%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.35%EV -4.63%E -0.166%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -10.08%E -6.30%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.11%E -4.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.47%EV -11.45%E -0.440%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.72%EV -11.21%E -7.09%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.11%E -4.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.45%EV -11.45%E -0.440%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.35%EV -14.02%E -9.16%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.73%EV -12.34%E -5.69%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 3.92%EV -25.07%E -1.14%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -9.52%E -5.91%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.69%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -28.48%E -1.36%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -9.52%E -5.91%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.69%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -28.48%E -1.36%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.32%EV -10.08%E -6.30%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.51%EV -31.88%E -1.59%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |