默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Timrå IK v Frölunda HC

开赛时间： 2026-10-08 17:00 UTC

最终结果： Timrå IK 4–1 Frölunda HC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

25%

54%

21%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Timrå IK (主队)

预测 25.04%3.99公平赔率

EV +2.66%

优势 +0.649%

Kelly +0.859%

增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布

23.32%25.72%25.04%28.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.203.823.904.1031.25%26.21%25.64%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

Frölunda HC (客队)

预测 53.71%1.86公平赔率

EV +4.19%

优势 +2.16%

Kelly +4.46%

增长率 +0.187%

假设最高赔率为 1.94

博彩公司预测分布

49.50%52.91%53.71%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.581.721.721.9463.29%58.00%58.14%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.26%4.70公平赔率

EV -4.35%

优势 -0.967%

Kelly -1.24%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布

20.96%21.37%21.26%22.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.704.324.354.5027.03%23.13%22.99%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Timrå IK (主队)：25.04%；Frölunda HC (客队)：53.71%；平局：21.26%。对于“Frölunda HC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.86。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.94，对应+4.19%的正期望值。

有 14 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	平局	利润率	更新时间
Coolbet🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -16.12%E -4.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV +4.19%E +2.16%K +4.46%G +0.187%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-04 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.66%E +0.649%K +0.859%G +0.023%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-10-05 13:39
ATG (SE)🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.66%E +0.649%K +0.859%G +0.023%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-10-05 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.66%E +0.649%K +0.859%G +0.023%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-10-05 13:39
Betway🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-05 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-05 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%EV +2.66%E +0.649%K +0.859%G +0.023%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.95%EV -6.55%E -3.77%K -8.86%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-05 13:39
1xBet🎯	3.86I 25.91%NM 24.36%EV -3.35%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.55%E -3.77%K -8.86%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-05 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.35%E -0.602%K -0.809%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.63%E -4.43%K -10.59%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-05 13:40
Unibet🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV +0.158%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.50%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-05 13:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV +0.158%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.50%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-05 13:40
Casumo🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV +0.158%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.50%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-05 13:39
Grosvenor🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV +0.158%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.50%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-05 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.78%E -5.82%K -14.38%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-10-05 13:40
TABtouch🎯	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -3.60%E -0.935%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -10.85%E -6.54%K -16.44%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-05 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -19.87%E -6.21%K -9.03%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 52.66%EV -15.15%E -9.59%K -26.11%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 21.34%EV -17.10%E -4.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%	20.2%	2026-10-05 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 25.71%EV -19.87%E -6.21%K -9.03%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 52.06%EV -15.15%E -9.59%K -26.11%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 22.23%EV -21.36%E -5.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%	21.6%	2026-10-05 13:40

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (14)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	利润率 ▲	更新时间
DraftKings🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%	4.1%	2026-10-05 03:08
Betsson🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%	5.5%	2026-10-04 14:24
NordicBet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%	5.5%	2026-10-04 14:19
888sport🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%	5.8%	2026-10-04 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%	5.8%	2026-10-04 08:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%	5.8%	2026-10-04 08:14
theScore Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%	6.0%	2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%	7.8%	2026-10-05 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%	7.8%	2026-10-04 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%	7.8%	2026-10-04 16:35
Neds🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%	7.8%	2026-10-04 16:34
Coral🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%	7.8%	2026-10-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.42I 41.32%NM 29.45%	1.01I 99.01%NM 70.55%	40.3%	2026-10-05 04:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.42I 41.32%NM 29.45%	1.01I 99.01%NM 70.55%	40.3%	2026-10-05 04:40