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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Djurgårdens IF v Örebro HK

开赛时间： 2026-10-08 17:00 UTC

最终结果： Djurgårdens IF 2–1 Örebro HK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Djurgårdens IF (主队)

预测 40.70%2.46公平赔率
EV +2.56%
优势 +1.02%
Kelly +1.68%
增长率 +0.043%

假设最高赔率为 2.52

博彩公司预测分布
38.16%40.13%40.70%42.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.252.252.5248.78%44.50%44.35%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

Örebro HK (客队)

预测 36.65%2.73公平赔率
EV -1.05%
优势 -0.388%
Kelly -0.615%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.87%37.29%36.65%39.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.552.602.7044.44%39.28%38.46%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.65%4.41公平赔率
EV -0.328%
优势 -0.075%
Kelly -0.097%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
21.62%22.58%22.65%23.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.504.174.284.4028.57%23.97%23.39%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Djurgårdens IF (主队)：40.70%；Örebro HK (客队)：36.65%；平局：22.65%。 对于“Djurgårdens IF (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.46。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.52，对应+2.56%的正期望值。

有 14 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.16%EV +2.56%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -11.31%E -4.67%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -1.46%E -0.336%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.58%EV -5.17%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 09:05
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.56%EV -5.99%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 21:27
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.56%EV -5.99%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.11%EV -6.39%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -0.328%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.11%EV -6.39%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -0.328%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.11%EV -6.39%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -0.328%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 09:05
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%EV -6.39%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -3.73%E -0.877%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.94%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.08%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.98%EV -1.46%E -0.336%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 09:04
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -9.24%E -4.15%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.59%E -0.603%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 20:35
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -9.24%E -4.15%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.59%E -0.603%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 20:35
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -9.24%E -4.15%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.59%E -0.603%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -9.24%E -4.15%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.59%E -0.603%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%EV -10.46%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.39%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-05 09:05
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.05%EV -12.09%E -5.60%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.33%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -4.86%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-03 20:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -13.72%E -6.47%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -9.11%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-05 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.44%EV -16.57%E -8.08%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.85%EV -17.54%E -7.79%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.71%EV -17.32%E -4.74%K -6.54%G +0.000%20.6%2026-10-05 09:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.05%EV -16.57%E -8.08%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.49%EV -17.54%E -7.79%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.46%EV -20.72%E -5.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%21.8%2026-10-05 09:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (14)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%4.7%2026-10-04 20:30
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%5.5%2026-10-04 08:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%5.5%2026-10-04 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-10-04 08:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-10-04 08:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-10-04 08:05
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-10-05 09:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-10-05 07:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-10-04 16:30
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-10-04 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-10-04 16:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-10-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-04 11:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-04 11:01