La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.51
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.73
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20
17 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.62%EV -8.56%E -3.71%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.22%EV +0.722%E +0.265%K +0.418%G +0.003% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.17%EV -2.38%E -0.574%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.35%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%EV -0.384%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%EV -1.20%E -0.287%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.85%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%EV -0.384%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%EV -1.20%E -0.287%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.85%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%EV -0.384%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%EV -1.20%E -0.287%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-01 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -2.23%E -0.841%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -3.56%E -0.867%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 16:15 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 07:00 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 16:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 16:15 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 06:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.88%EV -11.73%E -5.26%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-01 16:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.05%EV -0.648%E -0.258%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.36%EV -8.13%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.73%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.11%EV -0.648%E -0.258%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.57%EV -8.50%E -3.43%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -3.56%E -0.867%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -11.45%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 07:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.71%EV -11.45%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -14.14%E -3.87%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 07:00 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.33%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -13.30%E -5.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -14.14%E -3.87%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.20%EV -12.92%E -5.87%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.49%EV -15.14%E -6.58%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -12.97%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-01 07:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-01 15:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 10:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 07:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 10:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:03 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |