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Kalmar HC v Södertälje SK
Resultado del partido
Kalmar HC (Local)
Predicción 48.09%2.08momio equitativo
EV +7.25%
Ventaja +3.25%
Kelly +5.89%
Crecimiento +0.427%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.93%48.09%48.68%49.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.842.102.182.2354.35%47.56%45.87%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Södertälje SK (Visitante)
Predicción 30.10%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -0.856%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%30.10%29.52%34.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.852.753.2338.02%35.08%36.36%30.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.80%4.59momio equitativo
EV -5.15%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.59%21.80%21.80%22.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.234.224.3524.39%23.62%23.67%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kalmar HC (Local): 48.09%; Södertälje SK (Visitante): 30.10%; Empate: 21.80%. Para Kalmar HC (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.08. 8 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.23, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.25%.
4 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (2 vías, frente al formato de 3 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (12 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.93%EV +7.25%E +3.25%K +5.89%G +0.427% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -6.24%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 21:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.93%EV +7.25%E +3.25%K +5.89%G +0.427% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -6.24%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.93%EV +7.25%E +3.25%K +5.89%G +0.427% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -6.24%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.93%EV +7.25%E +3.25%K +5.89%G +0.427% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -6.24%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 21:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%EV +4.84%E +2.22%K +4.10%G +0.199% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.71%EV -18.72%E -6.93%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.43%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 21:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%EV +4.84%E +2.22%K +4.10%G +0.199% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.71%EV -18.72%E -6.93%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.43%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%EV +4.84%E +2.22%K +4.10%G +0.199% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.71%EV -18.72%E -6.93%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.43%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.04%EV +1.96%E +0.922%K +1.75%G +0.034% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.70%EV -20.83%E -7.92%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.61%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.92%EV -0.449%E -0.217%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -5.15%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 21:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.81%EV -9.59%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -7.33%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 21:27 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.41%EV -10.55%E -5.67%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.45%EV -2.76%E -0.856%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.52%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 21:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.54%EV -11.51%E -6.26%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -9.52%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 21:27 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (4)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.57% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.43% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 21:30 |
Arbitraje (83 combinaciones) +1.22%LeoVegas (SE) 2.23 (45.4%) / 1xBet 3.23 (31.3%) / Coolbet 4.35 (23.3%)Ver las 83 combinaciones
| Kalmar HC (Local) | Södertälje SK (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.4%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Coolbet🎯 4.35 (23.3%) | +1.22% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.4%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Coolbet🎯 4.35 (23.3%) | +1.22% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.4%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Coolbet🎯 4.35 (23.3%) | +1.22% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.4%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Coolbet🎯 4.35 (23.3%) | +1.22% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.3%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.950% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Coolbet🎯 4.35 (23.2%) | +0.927% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Coolbet🎯 4.35 (23.2%) | +0.927% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Coolbet🎯 4.35 (23.2%) | +0.927% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.3%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Coolbet🎯 4.35 (23.2%) | +0.927% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.2%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 4.25 (23.7%) | +0.672% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.2%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 4.25 (23.7%) | +0.672% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.2%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 4.25 (23.7%) | +0.672% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.2%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 4.25 (23.7%) | +0.672% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | Marathon Bet🎯 3.20 (31.5%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.30 (23.4%) | +0.655% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.0%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.1%) | Unibet🎯 4.20 (23.9%) | +0.389% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.0%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.1%) | Grosvenor🎯 4.20 (23.9%) | +0.389% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.0%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.1%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 4.20 (23.9%) | +0.389% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.0%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.1%) | Unibet🎯 4.20 (23.9%) | +0.389% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.0%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.1%) | Grosvenor🎯 4.20 (23.9%) | +0.389% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.0%) | 1xBet🎯 3.23 (31.1%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 4.20 (23.9%) | +0.389% |
Mostrando 50 de 83 combinaciones