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Winnipeg Jets v Seattle Kraken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Winnipeg Jets (Local)
Predicción 60.25%1.66momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -4.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.28%60.30%60.15%61.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.581.591.6168.97%63.16%62.89%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Seattle Kraken (Visitante)
Predicción 39.75%2.52momio equitativo
EV -0.619%
Ventaja -0.248%
Kelly -0.413%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.44%39.70%39.85%40.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.222.402.402.5045.05%41.59%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Winnipeg Jets (Local): 60.25%; Seattle Kraken (Visitante): 39.75%. Para Seattle Kraken (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.52. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.50, con un valor esperado de -0.619%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 05:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.00%E -1.86%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.02%E -0.408%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.60%E -2.25%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.619%E -0.248%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.21%E -0.898%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-06 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-06 23:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 16:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 20:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.79%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.79%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 02:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.81%E -3.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.01%E -3.85%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 20:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.01%E -3.85%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 23:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.82%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 23:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -12.64%E -8.72%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -11.75%E -5.29%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 0.0% | 2026-04-06 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 23:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.29% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 20:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.34% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.32% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.20% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.22% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.58% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 23:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 20:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.04% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.04% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.04% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 23:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44% | 12.8% | 2026-04-06 20:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.32% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |