La scuola delle quote

Washington Capitals v Ottawa Senators

Inizio: 2026-03-18 23:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Capitals (Casa)

Previsione 44.87%2.23quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.582%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.73%44.93%44.85%46.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.972.122.122.2050.76%47.24%47.28%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ottawa Senators (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.13%1.81quota equa
EV -2.42%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -3.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.95%55.07%55.15%56.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.741.741.7763.29%57.56%57.47%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.28%E -0.582%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.73%E -3.35%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 23:15
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.18%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.73%E -3.35%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 20:43
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%EV -2.63%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-18 23:10
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.63%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.18%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 20:15
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.63%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.18%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 20:15
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.63%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.18%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 23:03
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.07%E -1.42%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.73%E -3.35%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 20:15
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 23:30
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 23:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.34%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 22:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.34%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 20:45
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.34%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 20:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 20:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.73%E -3.35%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 23:30
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.97%E -1.86%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.08%E -2.34%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 17:44
Bet Right2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.42%E -2.08%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:00
ReBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.42%E -2.08%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:40
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.87%E -2.30%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:25
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.32%E -2.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.08%E -2.34%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 22:39
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:30
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:20
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.18%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 20:45
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.18%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 20:45
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.73%E -3.35%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 23:35
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:40
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:20
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:20
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:20
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:15
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.08%E -2.34%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 23:34
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -11.60%E -5.89%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.90%E -8.16%K -22.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-18 22:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-03-18 23:35
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%0.8%2026-03-18 23:35
BetOpenly2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-03-18 23:29
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-18 22:20
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-18 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-03-18 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-03-18 23:35
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-03-18 23:35
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-03-18 23:35

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.3%2026-03-18 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.3%2026-03-18 22:25
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.3%2026-03-18 22:25
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.3%2026-03-18 22:25
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.26%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%4.1%2026-03-18 23:35
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.20%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%4.4%2026-03-18 23:35
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.15%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-03-18 23:29
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.61%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.22%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-03-18 23:20
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-18 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-18 20:15
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-18 20:15
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-18 20:15
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-03-18 22:25
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-18 22:48
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-18 20:15
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.01%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%7.8%2026-03-18 23:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%8.9%2026-03-18 23:15
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.84%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%9.1%2026-03-18 22:45
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%9.3%2026-03-18 23:30
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.91%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%10.2%2026-03-18 23:34
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%2.11I 47.39%NM 42.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%10.8%2026-03-18 23:35
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.81%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%14.0%2026-03-18 23:30