La scuola delle quote

Vegas Golden Knights v Utah Mammoth

Inizio: 2026-04-22 01:54 UTC

Finale: Vegas Golden Knights 2–3 Utah Mammoth

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Casa)

Previsione 57.71%1.73quota equa
EV -0.741%
Vantaggio -0.431%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.01%57.71%57.61%59.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.661.651.7262.11%60.17%60.42%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Utah Mammoth (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.29%2.36quota equa
EV -0.615%
Vantaggio -0.262%
Kelly -0.456%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.81%42.29%42.39%43.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.30%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

18 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -0.741%E -0.431%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -7.38%E -3.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 01:49
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.32%E -0.771%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 01:49
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.32%E -0.771%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 01:49
theScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.90%E -1.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.31%E -0.999%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 01:50
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.47%E -1.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 01:50
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.27%E -2.35%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 01:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 01:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 01:49
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.04%E -0.444%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 01:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 01:49
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:50
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 01:44
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.58%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 01:50
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.11%E -2.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:49
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.11%E -2.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:50
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 01:48
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 01:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 01:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 01:49
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 01:49
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.58%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 01:50
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 01:39
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 01:43
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 01:49
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 01:45
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 01:49
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 01:50
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.93%E -3.64%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 01:44
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.615%E -0.262%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:50
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 01:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-22 01:50
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-22 01:49
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-22 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-04-22 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-04-22 01:50
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-04-22 01:50
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-22 01:50

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (18)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.29%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%3.6%2026-04-22 01:50
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.29%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%3.6%2026-04-22 01:49
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.29%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%3.6%2026-04-22 01:49
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.29%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%3.6%2026-04-22 01:49
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.5%2026-04-22 01:50
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%4.8%2026-04-22 01:49
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-04-22 01:50
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-04-22 01:49
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-04-22 01:49
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-04-22 01:50
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-04-22 01:50
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.38%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-04-22 01:49
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-04-22 01:50
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-04-22 01:50
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%8.3%2026-04-22 01:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%8.3%2026-04-22 01:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%9.0%2026-04-22 01:50
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.51%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%12.3%2026-04-22 01:50