L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Minnesota Wild

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 03:09 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 48.69%2.05cote équitable
EV -0.187%
Avantage -0.091%
Kelly -0.178%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%48.69%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.961.952.0556.18%50.96%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Wild (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.31%1.95cote équitable
EV -0.970%
Avantage -0.503%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.31%51.05%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.851.9357.80%54.06%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.187%E -0.091%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.64%E -4.24%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:59
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.65%E -0.816%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 02:58
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.65%E -0.816%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 03:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.54%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 02:59
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.54%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 03:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 03:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:59
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 03:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 03:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 03:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:19
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 03:00
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.60%E -1.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.60%E -1.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.64%E -4.24%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.60%E -1.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.64%E -4.24%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 02:59
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -4.08%E -2.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -0.970%E -0.503%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-07 02:19
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.57%E -2.33%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.54%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 02:30
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:59
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:48
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:19
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 01:44
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.56%E -2.45%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:59
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 02:19
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 02:59
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.64%E -4.24%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Betsson1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.03%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 03:00
NordicBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.03%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 03:00
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.773%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 15:35
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.773%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 15:35
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:35
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 12:45
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 03:00
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.33%E -7.49%K -17.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.23%E -6.49%K -15.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 01:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-03-07 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-03-07 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-03-07 03:00
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-03-07 03:00
BetOpenly1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%2.9%2026-03-07 02:19
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-03-07 03:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%3.5%2026-03-06 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%3.5%2026-03-06 15:35
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%3.5%2026-03-06 15:35
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%3.5%2026-03-06 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%3.8%2026-03-07 02:59
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%4.5%2026-03-07 02:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-06 21:35
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.61%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-03-07 02:59
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-06 15:34
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-06 15:35
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-06 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-06 15:35
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-03-06 15:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-03-07 03:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%7.2%2026-03-06 15:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.91%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%9.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%9.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.29%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%13.6%2026-03-07 02:59