La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Vegas Golden Knights v Carolina Hurricanes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Predicción 50.06%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.706%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.48%50.13%50.00%51.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.911.911.9754.05%52.49%52.36%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Carolina Hurricanes (Visitante)
Predicción 49.94%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.95%49.87%50.00%50.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.911.911.9554.05%52.41%52.36%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
18 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.39%E -0.706%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.61%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.89%E -1.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.39%E -1.76%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.60%E -2.97%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.39%E -1.76%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.60%E -2.97%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -2.61%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -2.61%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:18 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:17 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.58%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 00:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.58%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.58%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.58%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.58%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.58%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.40%E -2.85%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.40%E -2.85%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.40%E -2.85%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.61%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.53%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-07 00:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-07 00:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| ProphetX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Novig | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-06-07 00:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38% | 2.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (18)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.26% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.65% | 4.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.9% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26% | 5.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26% | 5.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26% | 5.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26% | 5.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.16% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68% | 7.3% | 2026-06-07 00:18 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13% | 7.6% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34% | 12.5% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |