La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.437%E -0.146%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 21:49 |
| Caesars | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -3.42%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -3.42%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 20:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 20:25 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 20:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| GTbets | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 21:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.42%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.42%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.42%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.42%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -4.75%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| BetUS | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 20:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| Fliff | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| ReBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.07%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 08:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.07%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.07%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.07%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:53 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -9.73%E -3.58%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -9.73%E -3.58%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.08%EV -11.39%E -4.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.92%EV -11.81%E -8.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69% | -0.2% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 22:45 |
| Polymarket | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.03% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.63% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.60% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:44 |
| Coolbet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:44 |
| 1xBet | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.19% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 22:53 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |