L’École des cotes

Vancouver Canucks v Seattle Kraken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vancouver Canucks (Local)

Prévision 43.57%2.30cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.483%
Kelly -0.863%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.49%43.57%43.59%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.192.202.2749.50%45.75%45.45%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Kraken (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.43%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.713%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.55%56.43%56.41%57.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.691.701.7564.52%59.03%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.10%E -0.483%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.10%E -0.483%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 02:01
Caesars2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.53%E -0.678%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 02:04
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 02:05
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 02:05
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 01:54
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 02:05
ReBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.71%E -1.68%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 02:05
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 02:05
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 02:05
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 02:05
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 02:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 02:05
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 02:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 02:05
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 02:05
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 02:05
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 02:05
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 02:05
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 02:00
NordicBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 02:05
Betsson2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 02:05
SportsBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 02:05
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 02:05
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 02:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.25%E -0.713%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 02:03
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 02:05
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 02:04
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -11.99%E -5.93%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.53%E -8.09%K -22.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-15 02:05
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-15 02:05
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.61%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%0.7%2026-03-15 02:05
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-03-15 02:05
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-03-15 02:05
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-03-15 02:05
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-03-15 02:05
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%3.3%2026-03-15 01:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%3.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%3.5%2026-03-15 02:05
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%3.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%3.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%3.8%2026-03-15 02:05
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.63%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.88%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-03-15 01:59
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.48%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.05%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-15 01:59
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-15 02:05
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%6.8%2026-03-15 02:05
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%7.2%2026-03-15 02:04
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-03-15 02:05
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-03-15 02:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.71%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.61%9.2%2026-03-15 02:00
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.3%2026-03-15 02:02
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%9.5%2026-03-15 02:05
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%10.8%2026-03-15 02:03
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%10.9%2026-03-15 01:58