L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.65
avec la cote maximale 1.59
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.243%E +0.092%K +0.147%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.243%E +0.092%K +0.147%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -0.136%E -0.051%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.514%E -0.195%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 01:56 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 01:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.41%E -0.932%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| ReBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.77%E -1.12%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.77%E -1.12%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:03 |
| GTbets | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.15%E -0.721%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 02:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -11.11%E -4.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -12.34%E -8.75%K -30.09%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-27 02:01 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | -0.1% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.77I 36.10%NM 36.03% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.97% | 0.2% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 1.2% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Novig | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.49% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.67% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.44% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.06% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.50% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Casumo | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.98% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.98% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 02:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.86% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 02:03 |