L’École des cotes

Vancouver Canucks v Florida Panthers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vancouver Canucks (Local)

Prévision 41.48%2.41cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.535%
Kelly -0.923%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.20%41.41%41.44%42.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.302.302.3847.17%43.41%43.48%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Florida Panthers (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.52%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%58.59%58.56%59.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.641.6766.67%61.16%60.98%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.27%E -0.535%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-17 22:45
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.27%E -0.535%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:55
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.27%E -0.535%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:55
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.27%E -0.535%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 22:55
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.69%E -0.713%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 22:44
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 00:55
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 00:55
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 00:55
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 22:15
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 15:57
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:15
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 22:20
Everygame2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.86%E -1.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 22:05
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 05:14
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 16:00
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 19:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 16:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 19:30
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:55
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 00:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 01:00
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:39
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.42%E -2.38%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:55
ReBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.84%E -2.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 22:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 21:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:15
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 21:50
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:30
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 19:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 23:00
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.06%E -5.69%K -10.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-17 22:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-18 00:55
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-18 00:55
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-17 23:00
BetOpenly2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-03-18 00:55
Novig2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%0.7%2026-03-18 00:55
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-17 19:35
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-03-18 00:55
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-03-18 00:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.16%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36%2.8%2026-03-17 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.16%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36%2.8%2026-03-17 22:55
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.16%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36%2.8%2026-03-17 22:55
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.16%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36%2.8%2026-03-17 22:55
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.34%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.42%3.3%2026-03-17 22:45
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-03-17 22:55
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-03-17 22:45
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-17 23:05
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.1%2026-03-17 22:55
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-17 22:55
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-17 22:55
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-17 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-03-17 20:05
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-03-17 22:55
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%7.4%2026-03-17 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%8.0%2026-03-17 23:05
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-03-17 22:55
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-03-17 20:05
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-17 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.05%9.0%2026-03-18 00:54
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.26%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%10.3%2026-03-17 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%14.1%2026-03-17 20:00