L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.38
avec la cote maximale 1.67
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.27%E -0.535%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-17 22:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.27%E -0.535%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.27%E -0.535%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.27%E -0.535%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Bovada | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.69%E -0.713%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 22:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 22:15 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 15:57 |
| Fliff | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:15 |
| BetUS | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| Everygame | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.86%E -1.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 22:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 05:14 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 19:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.42%E -2.38%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| ReBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.84%E -2.57%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.44%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:15 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.03%E -2.46%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.67%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.06%E -5.69%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-17 22:35 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| ProphetX | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| BetOpenly | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Novig | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 1.6% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-03-18 00:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.16% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.16% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.16% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.16% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.34% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.42% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.44% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.44% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.44% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 20:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 23:05 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 20:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.05% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 00:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.26% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47% | 14.1% | 2026-03-17 20:00 |