L’École des cotes

Vancouver Canucks v Dallas Stars

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 03:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vancouver Canucks (Local)

Prévision 35.99%2.78cote équitable
EV +0.042%
Avantage +0.015%
Kelly +0.024%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%35.94%36.14%37.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.422.642.652.7841.32%37.86%37.74%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dallas Stars (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.01%1.56cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -3.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.19%64.06%63.86%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.501.501.5372.46%66.86%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +0.042%E +0.015%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -5.90%E -4.01%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 02:47
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.04%E -0.377%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.26%E -3.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-02 23:40
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.04%E -0.377%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.82%E -5.43%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 00:40
LowVig.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -1.76%E -0.644%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 02:50
BetOnline.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -1.76%E -0.644%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 02:50
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.06%E -1.35%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-03 02:50
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 23:40
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 02:50
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 22:45
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 23:40
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.62%E -3.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 23:40
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.26%E -3.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.26%E -3.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.26%E -3.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:40
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.90%E -4.01%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 00:40
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 02:08
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 00:40
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 00:45
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 20:49
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -5.36%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 02:50
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -5.36%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 02:50
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 00:05
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.06%E -1.35%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 00:05
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.06%E -1.35%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.06%E -1.35%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 00:05
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 00:05
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 02:50
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.26%E -3.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.26%E -3.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 23:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.18%E -4.95%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 02:48
MyBookie.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.51%E -2.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 02:50
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.70%E -1.78%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:05
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 02:50
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 02:50
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:19
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.70%E -1.78%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 00:05
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.32%EV -12.91%E -5.34%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.68%EV -11.66%E -8.45%K -30.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-03 02:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.85I 35.09%NM 35.08%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.92%0.0%2026-03-03 02:50
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-03-03 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-03-03 02:50
Novig2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-03-03 02:50
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-03-03 01:50
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-03 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-03 02:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-03-03 02:50

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%3.7%2026-03-03 02:50
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%3.7%2026-03-03 02:50
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%3.7%2026-03-03 02:50
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%3.7%2026-03-03 02:50
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%4.0%2026-03-03 02:50
Marathon Bet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-03-03 02:50
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-03-03 01:50
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 26.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.18%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08%4.7%2026-03-03 02:50
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.2%2026-03-03 02:50
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.2%2026-03-03 02:50
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.2%2026-03-03 02:51
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.2%2026-03-03 02:50
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%6.2%2026-03-03 02:50
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-03-03 00:40
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-03-03 02:50
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%7.7%2026-03-03 02:50
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-03-03 02:49
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%8.8%2026-03-02 23:37
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-03-03 02:50
Parions Sport (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.1%2026-03-03 02:50
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-03-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-03-03 02:50