L’École des cotes

Utah Mammoth v Nashville Predators

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 01:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Prévision 60.81%1.64cote équitable
EV -0.876%
Avantage -0.537%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%60.74%60.78%61.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.581.591.6368.97%63.26%62.89%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nashville Predators (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.19%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.495%
Kelly -0.821%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.12%39.26%39.22%41.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.422.432.5245.05%41.37%41.15%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -0.876%E -0.537%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-10 00:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.48%E -0.916%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 01:05
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.48%E -0.916%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 01:00
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.09%E -1.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 21:45
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.09%E -1.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 01:04
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.82%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-09 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.82%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-09 23:39
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.82%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-10 01:00
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 00:59
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 20:50
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:44
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 20:44
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 00:48
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.31%E -2.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 23:40
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.31%E -2.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:30
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.31%E -2.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 21:54
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.31%E -2.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 00:50
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.13%E -3.01%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 01:05
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.13%E -3.01%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 01:05
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 01:05
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 21:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 21:00
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 01:05
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -1.25%E -0.495%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 00:39
Paddy Power1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 00:59
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 01:05
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 01:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 21:00
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 01:00
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.35%E -4.12%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 01:00
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.35%E -4.12%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -2.42%E -0.973%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 00:59
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -11.82%E -8.15%K -26.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -13.00%E -5.86%K -10.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-10 00:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.97%2.64I 37.88%NM 38.03%-0.4%2026-04-10 00:59
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-10 01:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-09 22:45
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-04-10 01:05
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-04-10 01:05
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%3.5%2026-04-10 01:05
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%3.8%2026-04-10 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%6.2%2026-04-10 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%6.2%2026-04-10 01:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-09 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-09 21:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-09 21:00
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-09 21:00
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.52%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.36%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.12%4.6%2026-04-10 00:59
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.26%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.67%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.7%2026-04-10 00:59
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%4.8%2026-04-10 01:00
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-04-10 01:00
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-09 21:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-09 21:00
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-09 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-09 21:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-04-09 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-04-10 00:49
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-04-09 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%7.7%2026-04-10 00:59
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-04-10 01:03
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-10 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%8.7%2026-04-10 01:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%8.8%2026-04-10 01:00
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%9.0%2026-04-10 00:50
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%12.5%2026-04-09 21:00