La escuela de los momios

Utah Mammoth v Los Angeles Kings

Inicio: 2026-03-23 01:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Predicción 61.14%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -4.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.95%61.19%61.14%61.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.561.571.5969.93%63.99%63.69%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Kings (Visitante)

Predicción 38.86%2.57momio equitativo
EV -0.902%
Ventaja -0.354%
Kelly -0.582%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.14%38.81%38.86%40.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.452.5544.44%40.73%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 18:30
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 22:29
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.40%E -1.79%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 00:09
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -5.18%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 00:54
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.40%E -2.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -0.902%E -0.354%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-23 00:34
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.40%E -2.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.46%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.40%E -2.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.46%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 00:59
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 20:30
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.62%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 19:45
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:44
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:19
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 19:39
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 12:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 11:58
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.95%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.51%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.01%E -2.56%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 11:59
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.68%E -0.664%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 22:03
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.07%E -0.820%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 00:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 14:54
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 14:54
Paddy Power1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 21:35
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 21:35
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.40%E -1.79%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 21:40
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.95%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 22:00
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.95%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 07:45
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.62%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 14:55
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.01%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 21:34
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 01:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:20
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:45
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:49
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 00:54
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -12.57%E -8.79%K -29.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88%-0.0%2026-03-23 00:59
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-03-23 00:54
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-23 00:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-23 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-23 00:44
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-23 00:44
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-23 00:10
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-22 23:05
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%8.4%2026-03-23 00:59

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%3.6%2026-03-22 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%3.6%2026-03-22 16:04
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%3.6%2026-03-22 21:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%3.6%2026-03-22 16:04
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%4.1%2026-03-23 00:45
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-03-22 22:34
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.03%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.35%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.62%4.7%2026-03-23 00:54
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.96%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-03-23 00:34
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-22 14:54
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-22 14:55
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-22 14:54
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-22 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-03-23 00:44
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%7.0%2026-03-22 14:54
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-22 14:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%8.1%2026-03-23 01:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%8.8%2026-03-23 00:50
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%8.8%2026-03-23 00:45
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%8.8%2026-03-23 01:00
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%11.0%2026-03-23 00:48
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%11.3%2026-03-23 00:54
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%13.7%2026-03-23 00:59