L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.33
avec la cote maximale 3.85
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.54%E -5.15%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +1.68%E +0.437%K +0.590%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.54%E -5.15%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +1.68%E +0.437%K +0.590%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.360%E +0.095%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 21:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.360%E +0.095%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.54%E -5.15%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.360%E +0.095%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.60%E -2.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV +0.096%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.960%E -0.256%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.960%E -0.256%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Fliff | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.81%E -4.54%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.960%E -0.256%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.28%E -0.616%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.28%E -0.616%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.07%E -3.93%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.28%E -0.616%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -2.86%E -2.17%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -2.86%E -2.17%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.60%E -2.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 17:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.60%E -2.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.60%E -2.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 21:05 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.86%E -2.17%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 19:54 |
| Everygame | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.86%E -2.17%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.60%E -2.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 10:23 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 19:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -3.60%E -2.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -3.60%E -2.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.60%E -2.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.62%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 19:35 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 21:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 21:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.33%EV -11.69%E -9.74%K -58.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.13%E -1.60%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -18.13%E -5.85%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.14% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.86% | 0.1% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Polymarket | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.22% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.78% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.44% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.38% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.72% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.04% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.43% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 21:03 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.68% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.68% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.68% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.68% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Betway | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.50% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.70% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 19:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.20% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.35% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 21:02 |