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Utah Mammoth v Chicago Blackhawks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Utah Mammoth (Local)
Predicción 67.14%1.49momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -4.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.32%67.18%67.05%68.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.431.431.4674.07%70.04%69.93%68.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante)
Predicción 32.86%3.04momio equitativo
EV +1.88%
Ventaja +0.606%
Kelly +0.894%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.11%32.82%32.95%34.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.722.882.873.1036.76%34.70%34.84%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Utah Mammoth (Local): 67.14%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante): 32.86%. Para Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.04. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.88%.
20 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.88%E +0.606%K +0.894%G +0.017% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 01:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -0.423%E -0.140%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -0.752%E -0.249%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -0.752%E -0.249%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -0.752%E -0.249%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 01:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.68%E -4.81%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 01:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.68%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 01:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.68%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 01:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 01:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 01:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 01:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -7.00%E -2.47%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -7.65%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 01:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 01:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.98%E -1.36%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 21:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 01:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 01:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.83%EV -9.37%E -6.94%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.17%EV -10.61%E -3.90%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-02 01:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-10-02 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-10-02 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.85% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 31.15% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (20)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.30% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.02% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.68% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 01:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 01:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.20% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.84% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 01:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50% | 12.1% | 2026-10-02 01:32 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22% | 12.2% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90% | 14.1% | 2026-10-02 01:24 |