L’École des cotes

Utah Mammoth v Anaheim Ducks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Prévision 56.25%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.893%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.78%56.17%56.27%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.701.701.7563.69%58.78%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anaheim Ducks (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.75%2.29cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.892%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%43.83%43.73%45.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.182.202.2450.00%45.93%45.45%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.56%E -0.893%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.56%E -0.893%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.25%E -3.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 20:24
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 01:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 20:15
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.25%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.81%E -3.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.25%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.81%E -3.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.00%E -0.892%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:45
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.44%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 01:35
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 00:00
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 22:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 00:45
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 22:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 22:10
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 01:35
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 22:09
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.44%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 23:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.44%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 23:00
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:10
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 00:25
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.50%E -2.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:08
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.12%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 15:45
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 22:10
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 00:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 00:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:19
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 22:50
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:04
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:35
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.69%E -7.44%K -20.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.50%E -6.25%K -12.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-20 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-03-21 00:25
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-03-21 01:35
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-03-21 01:00
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-03-21 01:35
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-20 15:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-03-21 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-03-21 01:00
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-03-21 01:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.02%3.2%2026-03-20 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-03-20 22:50
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-03-20 22:50
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-03-20 23:00
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.08%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%4.5%2026-03-20 09:30
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%4.7%2026-03-20 22:50
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%4.9%2026-03-20 20:14
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-20 22:50
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-20 22:50
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-20 22:50
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-20 22:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-03-20 20:10
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-20 23:20
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 45.09%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%7.7%2026-03-20 22:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-20 20:09
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.90%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-03-20 22:10
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.66%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.71%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.64%9.1%2026-03-21 00:21
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 43.31%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%9.4%2026-03-20 22:10
Unibet (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.43%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%10.2%2026-03-20 22:24
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%11.8%2026-03-20 22:10