L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.83
avec la cote maximale 2.12
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.39%E -0.760%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.24%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.62%E -1.73%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.62%E -1.73%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:59 |
| ReBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.55%E -1.98%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.00%E -2.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 22:59 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.00%E -2.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.16%E -2.93%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.24%E -3.59%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -12.17%E -7.46%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.38%E -6.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91% | -0.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.54% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.54% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.54% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.54% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.23% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.27% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.25% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.20% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.60% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.86% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 34.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 22:57 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.70% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 34.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |