L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.95
avec la cote maximale 1.95
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.08%E -1.07%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:29 |
| ReBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.59%E -1.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 18:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 02:29 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 02:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 21:20 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 20:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 02:29 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 04:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 00:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 23:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.10%E -2.70%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.10%E -2.70%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.10%E -2.70%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 20:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 20:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 23:35 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 00:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.60%E -3.55%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:35 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:34 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.41%E -2.30%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.41%E -2.30%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -13.13%E -7.59%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.38%E -6.39%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-09 23:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Novig | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 00:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 00:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.12% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.33% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 00:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.96% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 23:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 02:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.35% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.35% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 23:59 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 00:03 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 23:50 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 00:03 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 23:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.14% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.06% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |