L’École des cotes

St Louis Blues v Washington Capitals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-25 00:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Louis Blues (Local)

Prévision 49.30%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.950%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.43%49.40%49.29%50.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.931.921.9956.18%51.89%52.08%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Capitals (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.70%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.61%50.60%50.71%51.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.881.891.9357.80%53.13%52.91%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

20 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.89%E -0.950%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.66%E -1.38%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-24 23:59
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -4.18%E -2.21%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-24 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -4.18%E -2.21%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-24 23:59
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.88%E -1.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.21%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:57
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.88%E -1.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.21%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 00:00
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.18%E -2.21%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 23:58
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:59
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 00:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:59
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:59
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:58
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.21%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.86%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.21%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:59
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.36%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.67%E -1.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 00:00
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.85%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 00:00
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.78%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.38%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 23:59
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.78%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.38%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 23:59
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.34%E -2.78%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 00:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.34%E -2.78%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.34%E -2.78%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.21%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 00:00
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.34%E -2.78%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.21%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 00:00
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:54
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:58
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 00:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 00:00
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 00:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 00:00
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -2.15%E -1.11%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 00:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:59
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:58
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:59
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.21%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 23:58
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.82%E -3.61%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.24%E -6.88%K -15.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.29%E -7.10%K -16.84%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-24 23:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-24 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-24 23:59
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-24 23:59
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-24 23:59
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-24 23:59
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.0%2026-03-24 23:59
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-24 23:59
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-03-25 00:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-03-24 23:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (20)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-03-25 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-03-25 00:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-03-25 00:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-03-25 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.55%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%4.4%2026-03-24 23:58
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-24 23:59
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-03-24 23:58
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%4.7%2026-03-24 23:59
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-25 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-25 00:00
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-24 23:58
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-24 23:59
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-03-24 23:59
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%6.8%2026-03-24 23:59
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-03-25 00:00
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%7.8%2026-03-25 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%9.0%2026-03-24 23:59
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%9.2%2026-03-25 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-03-24 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%9.3%2026-03-25 00:00