L’École des cotes

St Louis Blues v San Jose Sharks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Louis Blues (Local)

Prévision 54.49%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.755%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.68%54.26%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.751.751.8162.50%57.23%57.14%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Jose Sharks (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.51%2.20cote équitable
EV +0.115%
Avantage +0.052%
Kelly +0.096%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%45.32%45.74%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.102.102.2051.28%47.58%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.115%E +0.052%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 00:04
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.115%E +0.052%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:05
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.115%E +0.052%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:04
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.115%E +0.052%K +0.096%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 00:04
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.16%E -1.00%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 00:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.16%E -1.00%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 00:05
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 00:04
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 00:05
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.07%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:59
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.37%E -0.755%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.53%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 00:05
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.09%E -2.32%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.53%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 00:04
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.53%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:53
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.98%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 00:05
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:05
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:05
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:04
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:04
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:04
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:03
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:04
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:04
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.09%E -2.32%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 00:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.89%E -2.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 00:03
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 00:04
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.91%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 00:03
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 00:04
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 00:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 00:03
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 00:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.91%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.99%E -4.49%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 00:05
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -12.81%E -8.01%K -21.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.26%E -5.78%K -11.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-27 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-27 00:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-27 00:05
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.3%2026-03-27 00:05
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-26 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-03-27 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-03-27 00:05
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-03-27 00:05
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-03-27 00:05
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-03-27 00:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-03-27 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-03-27 00:05
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-03-27 00:04
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-03-27 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.33%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%4.1%2026-03-27 00:05
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.22%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.61%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-03-26 23:59
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.26%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%4.7%2026-03-26 23:59
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-27 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-27 00:04
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-27 00:05
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%5.0%2026-03-27 00:05
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-27 00:05
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-03-27 00:05
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-03-27 00:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-03-27 00:05
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%7.9%2026-03-27 00:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%8.5%2026-03-26 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%8.5%2026-03-26 23:59
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%8.8%2026-03-27 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-27 00:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-03-27 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.52%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.36%10.4%2026-03-27 00:02