L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.60
avec la cote maximale 2.60
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -1.34%E -0.838%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.63%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.63%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.19%E -2.03%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.19%E -2.03%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.321%E -0.124%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-13 20:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 20:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 21:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.92%E -1.98%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.92%E -1.98%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.84%E -2.81%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.84%E -2.81%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| ReBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.01%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 20:30 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 17:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 23:49 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.04%E -3.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.321%E -0.124%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 23:46 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.04%E -3.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.24%E -0.878%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.04%E -3.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.04%E -3.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 20:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.04%E -3.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 20:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.04%E -3.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.54%E -1.82%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.09%E -0.422%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 20:38 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 20:29 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 20:30 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.321%E -0.124%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 21:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -12.44%E -8.76%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -11.06%E -4.77%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-13 20:40 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 00:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| Novig | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 00:04 |
| BetOpenly | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.21% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79% | 13.9% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 21:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.56% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 23:58 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.27% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 21:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.03% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 21:20 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.03% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.03% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 00:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 20:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.02% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |