L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.30
avec la cote maximale 1.74
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.33%E -0.579%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.33%E -0.579%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.33%E -0.579%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.35%E -3.87%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 20:00 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 23:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 20:05 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 03:20 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 23:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -0.644%E -0.370%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-13 23:40 |
| Bovada | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Caesars | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 23:58 |
| FanDuel | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 23:40 |
| ReBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.62%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.36%E -1.38%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.62%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.36%E -1.38%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.62%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.36%E -1.38%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.22%E -0.702%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.20%E -5.41%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.64%E -8.26%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-13 23:23 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-03-13 23:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-03-13 23:40 |
| Polymarket | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| BetOpenly | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 23:40 |
| Novig | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.79% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.68% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.53% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.03% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55% | 10.9% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.64% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.93% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |