L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.67
avec la cote maximale 2.43
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.07%E -0.640%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.07%E -0.640%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 02:34 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -1.36%E -0.563%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 02:34 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 06:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.66%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 02:34 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.66%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 02:34 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 02:31 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 02:16 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 02:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.955%E -0.393%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.955%E -0.393%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 23:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.32%E -8.33%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.55%E -5.32%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-01 02:34 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.71I 58.48%NM 59.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.81% | -1.2% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.41% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.51% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 02:33 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.08% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.44% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.43% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 23:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 02:35 |