L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.30
avec la cote maximale 1.74
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.361%E +0.157%K +0.278%G +0.001% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.361%E +0.157%K +0.278%G +0.001% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.361%E +0.157%K +0.278%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| BetAnything | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.93%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.57%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:02 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Everygame | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.05%E -1.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.31%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.05%E -1.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.75%E -2.66%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betsson | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.75%E -2.66%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| ReBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.93%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -7.06%E -3.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.05%E -1.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.73%E -6.36%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.51%E -7.33%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Novig | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.05% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.98% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.02% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.84% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betway | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.84% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.09% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.88% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |