L’École des cotes

Seattle Kraken v St Louis Blues

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 03:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prévision 57.21%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.589%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%57.25%57.18%58.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.671.671.7365.36%59.86%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Louis Blues (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.79%2.34cote équitable
EV +0.545%
Avantage +0.232%
Kelly +0.404%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.25%42.75%42.82%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.232.252.3548.31%44.76%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.545%E +0.232%K +0.404%G +0.002%3.2%2026-03-05 02:50
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.59%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-05 02:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.59%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 00:39
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.59%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:50
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.59%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:45
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.59%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.02%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 00:05
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 02:50
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 02:48
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 00:30
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 00:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:40
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 10:59
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:53
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.16%E -1.86%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:05
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 02:15
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:55
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 08:14
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:45
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 01:10
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 01:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:40
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.30%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 00:24
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 02:55
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:54
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.02%E -0.589%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:55
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.46%E -8.14%K -23.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-04 23:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95%2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05%0.3%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-05 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-05 02:40
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-05 00:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-05 02:05
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-03-05 02:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-03-05 02:40

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-04 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-04 21:50
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-04 21:50
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-04 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%4.2%2026-03-05 02:50
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.55%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.5%2026-03-05 02:55
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-03-05 01:40
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-04 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-04 21:50
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-04 21:50
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-04 21:50
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-03-04 21:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%6.6%2026-03-04 23:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-03-05 02:50
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-03-04 21:50
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-05 02:50
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%9.5%2026-03-04 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%9.5%2026-03-05 02:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%10.7%2026-03-05 02:50
Unibet (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 44.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%11.1%2026-03-05 02:49