L’École des cotes

Seattle Kraken v Los Angeles Kings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 01:40 UTC

Score final : Seattle Kraken 3–5 Los Angeles Kings

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prévision 39.19%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.496%
Kelly -0.822%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.24%39.25%39.05%40.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.432.452.5245.05%41.19%40.82%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Kings (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.81%1.64cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -3.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%60.75%60.95%61.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.571.571.6168.97%63.53%63.69%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -1.25%E -0.496%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 21:55
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.31%E -2.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-13 18:59
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 01:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.03%E -0.813%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 18:54
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.82%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.09%E -1.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 00:45
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.82%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 18:00
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.82%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 17:59
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.21%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 00:38
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.31%E -2.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 00:19
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 18:55
SportsBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 18:54
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.09%E -1.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-13 20:15
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.31%E -2.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 18:55
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 23:34
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 19:00
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 19:09
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 18:59
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 18:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 18:59
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 23:25
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 00:05
ReBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -5.17%E -2.14%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 01:29
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 20:05
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 20:05
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 00:39
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 01:30
MyBookie.ag2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.34%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 01:28
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.70%E -1.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 20:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:00
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 00:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 00:10
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.92%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 01:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 18:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 01:28
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -13.01%E -5.86%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -11.82%E -8.15%K -26.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-14 00:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-13 17:59
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-04-14 01:30
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-14 01:30
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 39.37%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.63%1.2%2026-04-14 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-04-14 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-04-14 01:00
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-04-14 01:30
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-04-14 00:40
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%5.2%2026-04-14 01:29

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-04-13 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-04-13 20:05
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-04-13 20:05
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-04-13 20:05
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.17%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%4.5%2026-04-14 01:00
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-04-14 01:29
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%4.8%2026-04-14 00:49
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-04-13 20:04
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-04-13 20:04
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-04-13 20:05
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-04-13 20:04
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%6.9%2026-04-13 20:04
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%6.9%2026-04-14 01:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-04-13 20:04
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%7.5%2026-04-13 19:00
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%8.3%2026-04-14 01:29
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-04-14 01:30
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%8.8%2026-04-14 01:30
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%9.3%2026-04-14 01:30
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%9.9%2026-04-14 01:28
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%12.4%2026-04-13 20:05