L’École des cotesFrançais
San Jose Sharks v Vancouver Canucks
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
San Jose Sharks (Local)
Prévision 63.82%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -4.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.56%63.80%63.86%65.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.501.501.5372.46%66.69%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vancouver Canucks (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.18%2.76cote équitable
EV -0.511%
Avantage -0.186%
Kelly -0.292%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.99%36.20%36.14%37.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.422.632.642.7541.32%38.03%37.88%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.35%E -1.54%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 01:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.35%E -1.54%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 01:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.35%E -1.54%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 01:10 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.35%E -1.54%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.85%E -1.84%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.35%E -1.54%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.94%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.35%E -1.54%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.94%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 01:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.99%E -1.97%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -1.60%E -0.587%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.99%E -1.97%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.94%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 01:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.99%E -1.97%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -2.99%E -1.97%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -8.11%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -2.99%E -1.97%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -8.11%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.63%E -2.40%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 02:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.63%E -2.40%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 02:04 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.63%E -2.40%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 02:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.63%E -2.40%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.21%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 02:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.32%E -0.859%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 02:05 |
| ReBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.40%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 00:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 02:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 01:09 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.21%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.21%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 01:10 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.94%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.30%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 00:10 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 01:10 |
| Everygame | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.511%E -0.186%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.32%E -0.859%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.32%E -0.859%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.85%E -1.84%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 01:58 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.511%E -0.186%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.32%E -0.859%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Fliff | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 01:55 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.94%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.46%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.46%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.21%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.68%EV -11.93%E -8.64%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.32%EV -12.45%E -5.14%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34% | 0.1% | 2026-04-12 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 01:55 |
| Novig | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.15% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.85% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-04-12 01:15 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.79% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.79% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.79% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.79% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.99% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 01:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.72% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.17% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 01:55 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 01:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 01:58 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 02:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.92% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 02:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42% | 12.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |