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San Jose Sharks v Florida Panthers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Jose Sharks (Local)
Predicción 42.63%2.35momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.660%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.58%42.60%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.122.252.252.3147.17%44.47%44.44%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Florida Panthers (Visitante)
Predicción 57.37%1.74momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -4.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%57.42%57.40%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.6963.69%60.25%59.88%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Jose Sharks (Local): 42.63%; Florida Panthers (Visitante): 57.37%. Para San Jose Sharks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.35. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.31, con un valor esperado de -1.52%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.52%E -0.660%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 02:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 21:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.80%E -1.23%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.80%E -1.23%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.80%E -1.23%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.80%E -1.23%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.80%E -1.23%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.66%E -1.62%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 21:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 01:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 01:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.93%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 23:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.36%E -2.41%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.79%E -2.62%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 02:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 01:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 01:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.55%EV -9.62%E -4.54%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.45%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-02 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11% | 3.6% | 2026-10-02 01:50 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.74% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86% | 8.9% | 2026-10-02 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86% | 8.9% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38% | 9.0% | 2026-10-01 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.23% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.51% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29% | 12.2% | 2026-10-02 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 01:49 |