La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
San Jose Sharks v Edmonton Oilers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Jose Sharks (Local)
Predicción 50.00%2.00momio equitativo
EV +0.000%
Ventaja +0.000%
Kelly +0.000%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%50.04%50.00%51.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.911.912.0057.14%52.32%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Edmonton Oilers (Visitante)
Predicción 50.00%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.505%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.30%49.96%50.00%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.901.901.9857.14%52.75%52.63%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| ReBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 01:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 01:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 01:30 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 23:55 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 01:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 00:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 01:58 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 01:30 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 01:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 01:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.00%E -0.505%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.50%E -7.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.50%E -7.14%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.86% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 49.14% | -1.7% | 2026-04-09 01:57 |
| Novig | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 01:57 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 00:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.66% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.48% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.66% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.48% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.66% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.48% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.66% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.48% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.97% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.97% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 00:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.95% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 01:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.45% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78% | 9.7% | 2026-04-09 01:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.66% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |