L’École des cotes

San Jose Sharks v Calgary Flames

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 03:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Jose Sharks (Local)

Prévision 53.95%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.185%
Avantage -0.100%
Kelly -0.217%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%53.98%54.26%55.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.771.771.8561.73%56.50%56.50%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Calgary Flames (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.05%2.17cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.466%
Kelly -0.871%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.73%46.02%45.74%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.072.072.1552.08%48.36%48.31%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.185%E -0.100%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-27 03:05
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.26%E -0.691%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-27 03:04
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.26%E -0.691%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-27 03:04
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:05
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:05
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:04
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:04
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:04
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:05
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 03:04
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 03:05
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 03:04
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 03:05
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 03:05
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:05
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 03:04
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 03:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 03:04
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 03:04
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 03:04
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 03:05
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 02:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 03:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 03:04
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 03:02
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 03:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 03:04
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 03:04
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.00%E -0.466%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 03:05
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 03:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 03:05
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.74%E -4.53%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 03:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 03:03
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -12.59%E -7.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -11.59%E -6.04%K -12.60%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-27 02:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.60%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.40%-0.2%2026-02-27 02:59
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-02-27 03:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-02-27 03:04
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-02-27 03:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-02-27 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-02-27 03:05
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-02-27 03:05
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-02-27 03:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-02-27 03:04
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-02-27 03:05
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-02-27 03:04
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-02-27 03:04
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%3.8%2026-02-27 03:04
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-02-27 03:05
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-02-27 03:04
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-02-27 03:05
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-02-27 03:04
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%4.4%2026-02-27 03:04
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-02-27 02:59
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.22%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.61%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-02-27 02:59
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.2%2026-02-27 03:05
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-02-27 03:05
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.86%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-02-27 03:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%7.5%2026-02-27 03:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%8.1%2026-02-27 03:05
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%8.9%2026-02-27 03:01
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.51%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.48%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.02%9.5%2026-02-27 03:03
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%10.6%2026-02-27 02:59
Unibet (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 42.26%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-02-27 03:03
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%14.4%2026-02-27 03:04