L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Penguins v Philadelphia Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-20 23:10 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Penguins 0–3 Philadelphia Flyers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)

Prévision 57.45%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.00%57.46%57.45%59.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.661.671.7165.36%60.13%59.88%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.55%2.35cote équitable
EV -0.014%
Avantage -0.006%
Kelly -0.011%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.81%42.54%42.55%44.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.242.252.3548.31%44.55%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.76%E -1.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 23:00
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.90%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.14%E -0.931%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-20 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.90%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.90%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 22:45
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.90%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.90%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 22:44
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.99%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 21:15
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 22:40
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 22:44
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:05
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.82%E -3.11%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 22:44
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.29%E -0.556%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-20 23:00
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.29%E -0.556%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-20 23:00
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.14%E -0.931%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 03:15
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.14%E -0.931%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 22:45
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.57%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 17:45
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 23:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 23:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 16:40
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 16:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 03:30
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:00
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.14%E -0.931%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 03:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.14%E -0.931%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 20:25
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 22:40
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 04:25
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 06:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.65%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 22:59
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:25
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 21:20
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.14%E -0.931%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 20:29
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.10%E -7.91%K -22.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.93%E -5.76%K -11.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-20 22:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-20 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-20 23:05
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-20 22:59
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-20 22:59
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-20 22:59
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-20 20:55
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-20 23:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-04-20 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%3.0%2026-04-20 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%3.0%2026-04-20 16:35
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%3.0%2026-04-20 20:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%3.0%2026-04-20 16:35
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.6%2026-04-20 22:59
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.66%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.09%4.8%2026-04-20 22:59
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.50%5.1%2026-04-20 20:54
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%5.1%2026-04-20 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%5.1%2026-04-20 16:35
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%5.1%2026-04-20 16:35
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%5.1%2026-04-20 16:35
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-04-20 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%6.0%2026-04-20 23:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%6.4%2026-04-20 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-04-20 22:44
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%6.8%2026-04-20 22:59
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%7.2%2026-04-20 16:35
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-20 23:03
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-20 22:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-04-20 23:00
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%12.4%2026-04-20 16:40