L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Penguins v New Jersey Devils

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 00:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)

Prévision 58.85%1.70cote équitable
EV -0.552%
Avantage -0.327%
Kelly -0.800%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.11%58.74%58.79%59.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.621.6966.67%61.61%61.73%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New Jersey Devils (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.15%2.43cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.45%41.26%41.21%42.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.322.352.3847.17%43.12%42.55%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.552%E -0.327%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:10
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.32%E -1.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.87%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-27 00:06
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:06
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:06
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-27 00:10
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-27 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:10
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:06
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.87%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:09
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:09
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:09
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 00:04
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:09
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:08
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:09
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 00:09
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.46%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.46%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:09
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 00:09
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 00:09
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -11.73%E -7.82%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.75%E -6.01%K -11.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-26 23:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-02-26 23:59
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-02-27 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-02-27 00:09
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-02-27 00:09
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-02-27 00:10
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%8.1%2026-02-27 00:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-02-27 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-02-27 00:10
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-02-27 00:09
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-02-27 00:10
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.15%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%3.6%2026-02-27 00:10
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.6%2026-02-26 23:59
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-02-27 00:09
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-02-27 00:05
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-02-27 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%6.8%2026-02-27 00:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-02-27 00:10
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 47.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%8.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-02-27 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%9.5%2026-02-27 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%9.7%2026-02-27 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%10.7%2026-02-27 00:08
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%10.8%2026-02-27 00:07
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.70%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%13.9%2026-02-27 00:09