L’École des cotes

Ottawa Senators v Detroit Red Wings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 00:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Prévision 58.15%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.18%58.16%59.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.641.651.6866.67%60.84%60.61%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Red Wings (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.85%2.39cote équitable
EV -0.405%
Avantage -0.170%
Kelly -0.294%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.35%41.82%41.84%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.282.302.3847.17%43.78%43.48%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.30%E -1.37%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-27 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-27 00:00
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-27 00:00
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 00:00
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 23:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 23:59
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 00:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.17%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 00:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 23:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.88%E -1.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.50%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 23:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.05%E -2.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 23:59
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 23:59
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.59%E -2.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:54
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 23:59
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.66%E -0.707%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:00
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.59%E -2.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.66%E -0.707%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 23:58
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:59
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:59
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 00:00
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.405%E -0.170%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.405%E -0.170%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -12.77%E -8.51%K -25.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -11.29%E -5.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-26 23:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%-0.0%2026-02-26 23:59
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-02-26 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-02-27 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-02-27 00:00
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-02-27 00:00
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-02-26 23:59
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-02-27 00:00
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-02-27 00:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-02-27 00:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.82%4.3%2026-02-26 23:59
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-02-26 23:59
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%4.8%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-02-27 00:00
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.1%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-02-26 23:58
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-02-26 23:59
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%6.8%2026-02-27 00:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-02-27 00:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%7.9%2026-02-27 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-02-26 23:59
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-02-26 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%9.7%2026-02-27 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.16%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%10.0%2026-02-27 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.22%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.23%11.0%2026-02-26 23:58
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%14.1%2026-02-26 23:59