L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.09
avec la cote maximale 1.87
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.64%E -0.783%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.19%E -2.31%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.64%E -0.783%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.19%E -2.31%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| betPARX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.19%E -2.31%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 15:45 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 15:57 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 15:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.19%E -2.31%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:13 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 16:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:08 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:47 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 03:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.34%E -3.19%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:18 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.99%E -6.41%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.66%E -7.67%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.69% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.93% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.70% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.50% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 16:49 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.78% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 40.80% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.55% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.26% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.18% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 17:08 |