La escuela de los momios

New York Rangers v Chicago Blackhawks

Inicio: 2026-03-27 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Rangers (Local)

Predicción 61.11%1.64momio equitativo
EV -0.995%
Ventaja -0.615%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%61.02%61.03%61.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.571.571.6269.93%63.68%63.69%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante)

Predicción 38.89%2.57momio equitativo
EV -0.840%
Ventaja -0.330%
Kelly -0.542%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.21%38.98%38.97%41.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.442.452.5544.05%41.02%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.995%E -0.615%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -1.61%E -0.998%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -7.84%E -3.31%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:05
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-27 23:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.22%E -1.39%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:04
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-27 23:05
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 22:25
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-27 21:55
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 22:25
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:04
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.44%E -2.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -0.840%E -0.330%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 22:55
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.44%E -2.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:55
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 22:50
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 22:19
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.95%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.95%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 22:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:55
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:55
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:55
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:55
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:55
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 22:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 22:55
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.01%E -0.796%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 22:54
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 14:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:10
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:05
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.51%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 22:55
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.90%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 19:05
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.90%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 19:05
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 21:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 10:18
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 14:59
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -12.61%E -8.82%K -29.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -11.73%E -5.17%K -9.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-27 22:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-03-27 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-27 23:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-27 22:45
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-27 22:45
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-03-27 23:05
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-27 23:05

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-03-27 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-03-27 21:10
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-03-27 21:10
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-03-27 21:10
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%4.1%2026-03-27 23:05
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-03-27 22:54
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.26%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.52%4.6%2026-03-27 22:55
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%4.9%2026-03-27 22:50
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.2%2026-03-27 21:05
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.2%2026-03-27 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.2%2026-03-27 21:10
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%5.8%2026-03-27 23:05
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%6.1%2026-03-27 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-27 22:20
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-03-27 21:10
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%8.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.8%2026-03-27 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-27 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-27 22:55
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-27 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%10.1%2026-03-27 23:03