L’École des cotes

New Jersey Devils v Washington Capitals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 23:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Prévision 50.37%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.655%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%50.59%50.39%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.891.891.9657.80%53.02%52.91%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Capitals (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.63%2.01cote équitable
EV -0.730%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.730%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%49.41%49.61%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.921.922.0056.18%52.10%52.08%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.28%E -0.655%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.79%E -0.917%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.80%E -1.45%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 23:35
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.45%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 23:34
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.45%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 23:29
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:35
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:34
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:35
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:34
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 23:35
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:35
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:35
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.81%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:35
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.81%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:34
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.81%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:35
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.81%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:35
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.81%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:35
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:26
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:32
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 23:35
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 23:34
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:35
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:33
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:34
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:35
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:35
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 23:34
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.69%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 23:33
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.730%E -0.365%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 23:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -1.72%E -0.870%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 23:35
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.65%E -6.54%K -14.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-02 23:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-04-02 23:35
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-02 23:35
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-02 23:35
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-02 23:29
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.0%2026-04-02 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-02 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-02 23:35
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-04-02 23:35
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-02 23:35

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-04-02 23:34
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-04-02 23:35
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-04-02 23:35
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%2.5%2026-04-02 23:35
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%4.4%2026-04-02 23:34
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-02 23:35
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59%4.6%2026-04-02 23:29
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-04-02 23:29
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-04-02 23:35
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-04-02 23:35
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-04-02 23:35
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-04-02 23:35
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-02 23:35
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-02 23:35
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%7.0%2026-04-02 23:35
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-04-02 23:35
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-02 23:28
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%8.8%2026-04-02 23:31
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%9.0%2026-04-02 23:35
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-04-02 23:35
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%12.0%2026-04-02 23:35