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New Jersey Devils v Vancouver Canucks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New Jersey Devils (Local)
Predicción 71.47%1.40momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -5.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%71.36%71.43%72.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.341.341.3779.37%74.73%74.63%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Vancouver Canucks (Visitante)
Predicción 28.53%3.51momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.439%
Kelly +0.611%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%28.64%28.57%30.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.353.5632.26%30.15%29.85%28.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New Jersey Devils (Local): 71.47%; Vancouver Canucks (Visitante): 28.53%. Para Vancouver Canucks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.51. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.56, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.56%.
19 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV +1.56%E +0.439%K +0.611%G +0.010% | 2.7% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.147%E -0.042%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -1.29%E -0.372%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 19:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.57%E -0.456%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -3.57%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -4.14%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.43%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.43%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 19:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.43%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.43%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.43%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.43%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -5.28%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 19:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -9.95%E -7.89%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.44% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 26.56% | 0.1% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.65% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.35% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (19)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13% | 2.5% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13% | 2.5% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13% | 2.5% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.81% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.94% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.41% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.65% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.03% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.39% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 19:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75% | 14.7% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |