L’École des cotes

New Jersey Devils v Detroit Red Wings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Prévision 48.84%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.662%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.40%48.77%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.0254.64%51.12%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Red Wings (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.16%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.23%51.05%52.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.861.851.9158.82%53.83%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.34%E -0.662%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 20:39
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.34%E -0.662%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 20:39
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.34%E -0.662%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 20:40
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 23:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 22:58
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 22:59
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.85%E -2.61%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 23:00
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 22:59
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.78%E -1.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.87%E -3.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 23:00
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.27%E -2.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.27%E -2.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.27%E -2.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 22:59
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.27%E -2.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 23:00
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 23:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 21:59
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 23:00
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:00
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.61%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 22:59
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 22:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 03:59
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 01:39
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -13.03%E -7.67%K -18.62%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-03-08 22:59
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%0.5%2026-03-08 22:59
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-08 23:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-08 23:00
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-08 21:30
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-03-08 23:00
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-03-08 22:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-08 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-08 20:39
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-08 20:40
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-08 21:29
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53%3.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.49%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%4.6%2026-03-08 22:59
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.83%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.96%4.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.08%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.38%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%4.9%2026-03-08 20:44
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%5.5%2026-03-08 21:50
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%5.5%2026-03-08 21:49
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%5.5%2026-03-08 21:49
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%5.5%2026-03-08 21:50
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%6.3%2026-03-08 20:39
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-03-08 20:40
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-03-08 23:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-03-08 23:00
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-03-08 22:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.66%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%9.1%2026-03-08 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%9.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%10.0%2026-03-08 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.62%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%11.2%2026-03-08 22:58
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.22%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%14.3%2026-03-08 23:00