L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.54
avec la cote maximale 2.65
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -1.79%E -0.675%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:07 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.01%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.79%E -0.675%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:07 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.35%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.35%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.35%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.79%E -0.675%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.53%E -0.962%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.53%E -0.962%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.75%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.75%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.75%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.22%E -4.18%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.79%E -0.675%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.86%EV -11.89%E -8.49%K -29.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.14%EV -12.17%E -5.13%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02% | 2.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.60% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.33% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.55% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76% | 9.8% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74% | 11.3% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89% | 14.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |